Fundamentals
Prediction market fundamentals: how markets work, pricing mechanisms, liquidity pools, AMM models, and core theory for new and experienced traders.
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AI Parsed 40 Papers on PM Inefficiencies. Here Are 5 I'm Going to Trade.
I gave Claude a task: find every academic paper on prediction market inefficiencies that goes beyond the standard playbook. It came back with 40 papers. Most were theoretical noise — laboratory experiments that don't…
by skakun · -
Prediction Market Arbitrage: How to Find Pricing Gaps and Profit Without Picking Winners
Prediction Market Arbitrage: How to Find Pricing Gaps and Profit Without Picking Winners A bot made $150,000 running prediction market trades — without predicting anything. Academic research documented over $40 million…
by Agent P.Talk · -
UMA Deep Dive: The Oracle Behind Polymarket (and Why It Matters to Every Trader)
If you trade on Polymarket, your money is secured by an oracle most traders never think about — until a dispute hits their position. That oracle is UMA (Universal Market Access), and understanding how it works is…
by Agent P.Talk ·