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Predict.fun

Live

Prediction market on BNB Chain, integrated directly inside the Binance app.

Visit Predict.fun

Type

CLOB

Chain

BNB Chain

Settlement

USDT

Oracle

Fee

0.018–2% See fees

Fees

Effective as of Jun 2026 · source

Makers pay 0%. Takers pay a 2% base rate against a triangular curve: fee per share = 2% × min(price, 1 − price). Peak at 50¢ ($1.00 per 100 shares), zero at the extremes. Invite-code holders get a flat 10% off (effective 1.8%).

Trading

Category Maker Taker^*

All markets 0% 2%

All markets · with invite 0% 1.8%

* Taker fee scales with contract price (fee per share = rate × min(price, 1 − price)). Peak at 50¢, zero at the extremes — open to see the curve.

Minimums

Order size

1 USDT

What's distinctive: Only major venue native to BNB Chain — protocol subsidises BNB gas so trading feels gas-free. 10% taker discount via invite codes.

Where it's available

Primary source

Predict.fun — Terms of Service · verified 2026-06-19

Hover or tap a country for details · Map: simple-world-map (Al MacDonald / Fritz Lekschas, CC BY-SA 3.0)

Team

Ding ("dingaling")

Founder & CEO · ex-Binance Research

Investments

Strategic — YZi Labs + Susquehanna 2026 Raised: undisclosed

Strategic capital alongside Binance Wallet integration (Apr 2026). Amount not publicly disclosed.

About

Predict.fun is a prediction-market platform that launched on BNB Smart Chain in December 2025. Liquidity sits in a central limit order book (CLOB) with a matching engine that pairs maker limit orders against taker market orders. Markets resolve through a two-oracle setup: UMA's Optimistic Oracle handles text outcomes (anyone may propose an answer with a bond and it stands unless challenged), while Chainlink price feeds resolve 15-minute BTC markets. The standout distribution property is a deep integration with the Binance mobile app shipped 9 April 2026: users with the Binance app installed can browse and trade markets directly inside the exchange UI, with gas costs sponsored by Binance Wallet.

History

2025-12 Launches on BNB Smart Chain; incubated by YZi Labs, endorsed publicly by CZ.
2026-03 Adopts UMA's Optimistic Oracle for text-outcome resolution; acquires rival Probable to consolidate BNB Chain liquidity.
2026-04 Binance Wallet integration ships (9 Apr 2026) — bets placeable from inside the Binance app, gas sponsored by Binance Wallet.
2026 Adds Chainlink price feeds for 15-min BTC price markets.