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Predict.fun

Live

Bet from inside the Binance app — nothing separate to sign up for. Paid in USDT.

Visit Predict.fun
Type how a bet is placed
CLOB
Chain what it runs on
BNB Chain
Settlement what you get paid in
USDT
Oracle who decides the result
Fee what the site takes
0.018%–2% See fees

Fees

Effective as of Jun 2026 · source

Makers pay 0%. Takers pay a 2% base rate against a triangular curve: fee per share = 2% × min(price, 1 − price). Peak at 50¢ ($1.00 per 100 shares), zero at the extremes. Invite-code holders get a flat 10% off (effective 1.8%).

Trading
Category Makerif you wait Taker*if you're in a hurry
All markets 0% 2%
All markets · with invite 0% 1.8%
* Taker fee scales with contract price (fee per share = rate × min(price, 1 − price)). Peak at 50¢, zero at the extremes — open to see the curve.
Minimums
Order size
1 USDT
What's distinctive: Only major venue native to BNB Chain — protocol subsidises BNB gas so trading feels gas-free. 10% taker discount via invite codes.

Where it's available

Primary source
Predict.fun — Terms of Service · verified 2026-06-19
Hover or tap a country for details · Map: simple-world-map (Al MacDonald / Fritz Lekschas, CC BY-SA 3.0)

Available through

1 live consumer surface route users into Predict.fun . Each row links to the primary source disclosing Predict.fun as the backend.

Integrator Category Reach Assets
Binance Wallet
Crypto exchange 200.0M users $1.7B Predict.fun

Market insights weekly · refreshed 2026-07-10

Open Interest
$24M
Cumulative volume
$2.5B
30-day volume
$362M
Leading category

Volume: DefiLlama dexs endpoint.OI proxy: DefiLlama TVL (locked collateral in outstanding positions). Source: DefiLlama

Team

Ding ("dingaling"), Founder & CEO · ex-Binance Research
Ding ("dingaling")
Founder & CEO · ex-Binance Research

Investments

Strategic — YZi Labs + Susquehanna 2026 Raised: undisclosed

Strategic capital alongside Binance Wallet integration (Apr 2026). Amount not publicly disclosed.

About

Predict.fun is a prediction-market platform that launched on BNB Smart Chain in December 2025. Liquidity sits in a central limit order book (CLOB) with a matching engine that pairs maker limit orders against taker market orders. Markets resolve through a two-oracle setup: UMA's Optimistic Oracle handles text outcomes (anyone may propose an answer with a bond and it stands unless challenged), while Chainlink price feeds resolve 15-minute BTC markets. The standout distribution property is a deep integration with the Binance mobile app shipped 9 April 2026: users with the Binance app installed can browse and trade markets directly inside the exchange UI, with gas costs sponsored by Binance Wallet.

History

  1. 2025-12 Launches on BNB Smart Chain; incubated by YZi Labs, endorsed publicly by CZ.
  2. 2026-03 Adopts UMA's Optimistic Oracle for text-outcome resolution; acquires rival Probable to consolidate BNB Chain liquidity.
  3. 2026-04 Binance Wallet integration ships (9 Apr 2026) — bets placeable from inside the Binance app, gas sponsored by Binance Wallet.
  4. 2026 Adds Chainlink price feeds for 15-min BTC price markets.